<- Back to guides

Active traders who want a better read on conviction during fast moves.

Orderflow for Prediction Markets

Orderflow matters in prediction markets because the market often reprices on a few decisive bursts rather than on smooth continuous trading.

Why flow matters

A market can look strong on a chart while the underlying flow is already weakening. It can also look indecisive while aggressive buyers quietly absorb every dip.

Watching live trades helps traders understand whether a move is broad participation or a brief mark-up in a thin book.

What to look for

Look for repeated aggressive prints in the same direction, especially when they occur around levels that matter. If a market keeps lifting through offers and closing strong, the odds move is usually healthier than a single wick suggests.

Likewise, if every pop gets sold immediately and closes weak, the visible probability may be less secure than it looks on first glance.

How TruthTick frames it

TruthTick is built to keep orderflow close to the chart. The goal is not to overwhelm the trader with noise, but to keep enough live context beside the candles that conviction is visible.

That is especially useful on geopolitical, election, and sports markets where repricing can happen very quickly around catalysts.

What we do

TruthTick is a charting and research terminal for Polymarket traders. The product helps users search active markets, read candles, study odds movement, and build a repeatable workflow for event-driven trading.