How to Read Prediction Market Candles

A raw odds number only tells you where a market is right now. A candlestick shows where that interval opened, how far it stretched, where it closed, and whether buyers or sellers held control by the end.

In prediction markets, that helps separate a brief emotional spike from a meaningful regime shift. A wick through a level can mean something very different from a close through that same level.

Even though a yes contract can only settle at zero or one, the path still matters. Markets trend, consolidate, fake out, squeeze, and mean revert before resolution just like other speculative instruments.

That is why chart structure, not just final outcome, matters for entries and exits. The trader who reads the path better often gets a better price than the trader who only reacts to the headline.

Wide bullish closes after compression often signal fresh information or broad repricing. Tight inside candles after an impulse move can signal balance before the next break.

Repeated rejection wicks around the same zone often mean the market is testing conviction. On TruthTick, pairing those candles with live trade flow gives a much clearer read of whether the level is actually holding.